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ANALYSIS

Israeli strike in Qatar puts normalization on ice, leaves Iran in suspense

Israeli strike in Qatar puts normalization on ice, leaves Iran in suspense

More than any other act in the post-October 7, 2023 world, the Israeli airstrike on a busy residential neighborhood of Doha on Tuesday has the potential to upend prevailing assumptions on Persian Gulf security.

Why Iran’s hopes for Chinese and Russian investment don’t add up

Why Iran’s hopes for Chinese and Russian investment don’t add up

Tehran’s optimism about fresh Chinese and Russian investment may be more aspirational than realistic.

Israel's Qatar strikes aim to intimidate Iran but unsettle Arab states

Tuesday’s strike on the leadership of the Iran-backed Palestinian group Hamas in Doha aims to intimidate Tehran but also sows unease among Arab states, Israeli and American experts told Iran International.

Why Iran's rulers fear change more than war

Facing a grinding crisis and mounting calls at home to change course before disaster strikes, Iran’s rulers still speak in a language that suggests they prefer the risks of war to the uncertainties of reform.

Sanctions, strikes, or stalemate: Iran’s perilous September

Sanctions, strikes, or stalemate: Iran’s perilous September

Tehran risks sliding back into comprehensive multilateral isolation by the end of September, with the deadline for the return of UN sanctions fast approaching and Washington mulling restrictions on Iranian officials at this month’s General Assembly

Lifeline or dead end? Iran turns East as West closes in

Lifeline or dead end? Iran turns East as West closes in

Tehran’s sharpening nuclear clash with the West and embrace of Beijing and Moscow have brought it to a crossroads, where choices this month may decide the future of Iran’s rulers and the ruled.

Iran's diplomatic feints come up short as economy flashes red

Iran's diplomatic feints come up short as economy flashes red

Tehran’s approach to diplomacy may be best summed up by a Persian phrase: refusing with one hand and accepting with the other. But does the moribund economy show that the equivocating strategy has finally run out of road?

Iran’s renewed push to bypass the dollar faces long odds

Iran’s renewed push to bypass the dollar faces long odds

Iran has once again floated the idea of replacing the US dollar with local currencies in trade with its partners, but so far the push has gone nowhere.

Tehran’s denial after wartime thrashing may deepen its peril

Tehran’s denial after wartime thrashing may deepen its peril

New lows once unthinkable in Iran—from assassinations of senior officials to the gutting of air defenses—have already been plumbed, yet Tehran’s rulers remain impervious to these new realities, inviting the prospect of an even harsher reckoning.

Bogus barrels: how Iran exploits Iraq’s name to move its oil

Bogus barrels: how Iran exploits Iraq’s name to move its oil

Iran is passing off its crude oil as Iraqi exports to evade US sanctions, according to new evidence that contradicts Baghdad’s denials.

Months in the making, sanctions snapback still stuns Iran's elite

Months in the making, sanctions snapback still stuns Iran's elite

A day after three European states triggered a UN mechanism that reimposes international sanctions on Iran, the move appeared to wrongfoot Tehran's establishment despite months of warnings.

Isolated allies: Iran turns to Belarus as sanctions leave few partners

Isolated allies: Iran turns to Belarus as sanctions leave few partners

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian visited Belarus this week, a heavily sanctioned Russian ally, in a trip that highlighted how Tehran’s “Look East” strategy ties it more closely to Moscow and Beijing and their sanctioned partners.

Postwar calls for change rise in Iran—but how far can they go?

Postwar calls for change rise in Iran—but how far can they go?

A reformist call to suspend uranium enrichment, release political prisoners, and curb the Revolutionary Guards’ power has intensified debate over Iran’s future at a moment of heightened pressure.

Global oil glut, price drop spell more trouble for Iran next year

Global oil glut, price drop spell more trouble for Iran next year

Iran may be heading into even greater financial strain as fresh data points to a worsening outlook for global oil markets, threatening the country’s most vital source of revenue.

IRGC moves to keep factions on message as Khamenei fades from view

IRGC moves to keep factions on message as Khamenei fades from view

With the supreme leader’s retreat from view since the 12-Day War with Israel, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (IRGC) appear to have taken on his role as political disciplinarian, nudging senior figures to keep their feuds out of public view.

What’s behind US move to sanction Iran’s fintech sector

What’s behind US move to sanction Iran’s fintech sector

The latest round of US sanctions imposed on Iran mark a shift in Washington’s strategy, moving beyond conventional financial limits to target the intertwined financial and digital networks that sustain Tehran’s economy and political control.

From Moscow to Beirut: Larijani reemerges to hold the line for Tehran

From Moscow to Beirut: Larijani reemerges to hold the line for Tehran

Ali Larijani’s tour of Iraq and Lebanon a few weeks after his Russia visit underscores his re-emergence as a trusted envoy and crisis manager tasked with shoring up Tehran’s defences in the twilight of supreme leader Ali Khamenei’s rule.

Allies in name only? China’s money flows around Iran and Russia

Allies in name only? China’s money flows around Iran and Russia

While China keeps buying discounted oil from Iran and Russia, it is steering new investments and trade routes toward their competitors, official Chinese data reveals.

Shadow fleet sustains Iran’s oil flows but sanctions drive up costs

Shadow fleet sustains Iran’s oil flows but sanctions drive up costs

Tanker tracking data obtained by Iran International shows sharp fluctuations in Iranian oil discharges at Chinese ports this year, alongside a steep rise in floating oil stocks.

Khamenei’s Gen Z? How Tehran is selling a new face of ‘resistance’

Khamenei’s Gen Z? How Tehran is selling a new face of ‘resistance’

A young woman in a loosely draped hijab, strands of hair framing her face, flashes a peace sign while holding a photo of a slain Revolutionary Guard commander.

Iran's security shakeup is more rebrand than reboot

Iran's security shakeup is more rebrand than reboot

Ali Larijani’s reappointment as secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council (SNSC) may appear to mark a return to moderation, but it is better understood as a tactical facelift.

Postwar uncertainty triggers capital flight, gold rush in Iran

Postwar uncertainty triggers capital flight, gold rush in Iran

Capital flight from Iran’s stock market has intensified since the June war with Israel, with retail investors pulling half a billion dollars—much of it appearing to shift into gold or exit the country altogether.